The Bank of England will have to hike interest rates to their highest level since July 2007, the eve of the financial crisis, in a sign that markets think the UK has the worst inflation problem in the rich world.

Traders ratcheted up bets on how high Bank Governor Andrew Bailey and the rest of the monetary policy committee – the nine-strong group that set interest rates in Britain – will have to send borrowing costs this morning after a hotter than feared UK jobs report signalled inflation risks hanging around for longer.

Financial markets now think borrowing costs could leap to a high of 5.75 per cent, up more than a percentage point from their current level of 4.5 per cent.

Before this morning’s numbers from the Office for National Statistics (ONS), which showed wages are rising at their fastest pace on record outside the pandemic, traders reckoned the peak would be at least 5.25 per cent.

The expected rate path has swung up sharply over the last month due to a string of robust data suggesting the UK economy is running extremely hot despite the Bank already raising borrowing costs twelve times in a row.

Last month, the ONS said inflation fell to 8.7 per cent in April from 10.1 per cent, a slower deceleration projected by the Bank and City. That’s also the highest rate in the G7.

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